is it just me or does anyone else see it that way also?
As we know the states to participate on every income in their region they rule as monopolist or dictator. Well so far so bad. Anyway
a state can not produce anything, they just can consume. So far so bad.
In most states there is not a flat tax (which is unfair enough) but progressive tariffs. Well that just means the more someone earns the progressive move has
he/she give to the state.
Now and still are suggestions to take away everything over a certain amount. In Germany someone from the left has drawn the line at 40000 € /months. Yes that’s much but anyway
the tax for such income is well beyond 50 % even these days. if you take away everything over the 480 000 € /year. Who will ever earn more directly. So isn’t it schizophrenic to just
even think about 100 % over some level? It will produce much less taxes and if you want to have as much as you possibly can get, how can make a suggestion on
a move that cuts down the tax income?
If it’s not just plain stupidity ( a think all politicians are prone to) than it’s schizophrenic.
One just can say the break-down runs in direct confirmation of Mises predictions but also “Atlas shrugged”.
People start to sell off bonds from nearly any EU country. Believe it or not Germany is not among them. Quite the opposite, the spreads from every other EU country to Germany
are raising and Germany gets the money for free. Indeed they had to offer 0.8 % !!! for 6 months running bonds (AFAIK) and we have an inflation rate near 3%. Well so much to money and interest.
Just remember also the ECB has lowered the Discount rate to 1.25 %. So in fact this is artificially low. And it fits the last moves of a Fiat-Money system. So Germany does not have a problem refinancing itself with bonds.
But it gets more expensive for the other on a daily base. Monti or not Italy is “finished”. But now the EU bureaucrats are again entering the scene. Baroso warns of a systemic crisis (he is right on that) and he wants no actions and now the madness shines. A new round of credit and leverage of EFSF should do the work. JFYI the EFSF has to offer much more interest then Germany alone, but the credibility of Italy, France, Belgium etc is (not free but) falling. So there are two options I think the deledefs will take. At first the will put more pressure on the ECB to buy even more bonds (this would be another new round of expropriation). The other thing will be that they introduce a tax names something like “stabilization of the euro fond” or the like. Taxes are not a gift they are robbery and so you can see in both paths a new round of expropriation starts.
But there is another “secret” round, with no democratic control and even worse. The ECB has bought bonds from Greece, is now buying bonds from Greece and Italy. (it’s not known to me yet if France bonds are bought also) but the ECB has to be financed from every Euro country. And well Germany bears 27% or so of the “financial needs” and well the bonds will get worthless sooner or later. I guess sooner is not a bad guess these days. Why is this even worse than EFSF, well the ECB works without any control. An extension to the EFSF is not very likely any more. But the obligations from the ECB must be beard. This means whatever the ECB does everyone has to pay for it (dearly) . So the way seems very clear to me. The pressure on the ECB will raise they will claims kind of emergency laws. And down we go.
I just invite you to check this blog for the past years and you’ll see how I warned about it over and over again. Just see http://mises.org/Community/blogs/fdominicus/archive/2011/02/03/my-predictions.aspx on my outside Mises blog I wrote (more than 2 years ago http://fdominicus.blogspot.com/2009/10/done-i-sold-last-asset-from-country.html
You can check the Mises blog and see they warned and warned and warned. But the delebets do not give in the name expresses what they are.
Now after Greece let’s have a look at France.
I now work for more then 10 years with a french programmer. And he’s self employed. (but won’t be that much longer we will retire).
The french government does act as the the sun’s king times. The last attack was that one has to pay for the gains one have while selling houses.
Well of course inflation is not taken into account but even worse, the tax should apply to any bough house (even in the past)
So of you’d bought a house 10 years or so ago. And you would sell with a gain theese days, you won’t have to pay any tax, well that was the law as you bought that house.
Now this does not hold any longer? That’s brutal and disappropriation. Old contracts suddenly do not hold any more?
Another big problem the state has pension obligations and even self-employed have to pay for it. As in other countries this obligations habe to be met wit the current income. There was no
accruals for it. And well this means there is a big bureacracy in which everyone has to pay in. The buraucrats have to be paid and well maybe you get some money back. However it’s getting less and less likely that they stick to these obligations.
Another point one just earns below the minimum wage in France if the gross income month is 2500 €. So well that is quite a lot of money IMHO, but you’ll have to pay all the government and also a tax consultants because it’s the law that every self-employeed has to be controlled. Well yes the money is gone for “nothing”..You can see the elits of France in the form of MMe Lagarde. So you can see, from there one can not expect anything.
According to some figures one quarter of all under 25 are unemploye in france. That’s too much, and this will raise the possibility of violence massivly. You can see the laws in France do prevent earning an honest income for a free living. That means France is as much messed up as Greece. France will not be able to bear much more safety chutes costs. AFAIK they decided for a new “credit” facility named ESM which will just send us down the drain faster.
So currently I’d think the risks for a bankrupt are roughly in that order:
1) Greece (they are bankrupt)
2) Italy (
3) France, Spain
I guess Germany will fall short after either Italy or France…. In fact it seems the ponzi scheme comes to an end. I do not think it will took much more than a decade to probably the biggest fall in history.
I think I will have to adjust my predictions or add a few other points to it.
All in all one can say devastating….